天井シグナル。
強気相場ピーク指標 30 個中 1 個点灯
| # | 指標 | カテゴリ | 判定ルール | 状態 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rainbow Chart | cycle | Enter top-2 bands (Sell zone) | 未点灯 |
| 2 | Pi Cycle Top | cycle | 111DMA ≥ 2×350DMA | 未点灯 |
| 3 | Golden Ratio Multiplier | cycle | Price > 350DMA × 2 | 未点灯 |
| 4 | Power Law Corridor | cycle | Price > corridor top (fit × 2.4) | 未点灯 |
| 5 | Price / 4-Year MA | cycle | > 3× (diminishing-returns basis) | 未点灯 |
| 6 | Mayer Multiple | cycle | > 2.4 | 未点灯 |
| 7 | Price / 200W MA | cycle | > 4× | 未点灯 |
| 8 | AHR999x Top Escape | cycle | < 0.45 (escape zone) | 未点灯 |
| 9 | S2F Model Price | cycle | Price ≥ S2F model price | 未点灯 |
| 10 | MVRV Z-Score | onchain | > 7 | 未点灯 |
| 11 | MVRV Ratio | onchain | > 3.7 | 未点灯 |
| 12 | NUPL | onchain | > 0.75 (Euphoria) | 未点灯 |
| 13 | Puell Multiple | onchain | > 4 | 未点灯 |
| 14 | Reserve Risk | onchain | > 0.02 | 未点灯 |
| 15 | RHODL Ratio | onchain | > 90th pct (4y window) | 未点灯 |
| 16 | Terminal Price | onchain | Price ≥ Terminal Price | 未点灯 |
| 17 | STH MVRV | onchain | > 2 | 未点灯 |
| 18 | LTH SOPR | onchain | > 4 | 未点灯 |
| 19 | VDD Multiple | onchain | > 2.9 | 未点灯 |
| 20 | UTXOs in Profit % | onchain | > 95% | 未点灯 |
| 21 | CDD 30D Avg (4y pct) | onchain | > 95th pct (4y window) | 未点灯 |
| 22 | Price / CVDD (4y pct) | onchain | > 95th pct (4y window) | 未点灯 |
| 23 | BTC Avg Funding Rate | deriv | > 0.05%/8h (5× baseline) | 未点灯 |
| 24 | BTC OI / Market Cap | deriv | > 6% (extreme leverage) | 未点灯 |
| 25 | BTC Options Put/Call OI | deriv | < 0.5 (call euphoria) | 未点灯 |
| 26 | Coinbase Premium (7D avg) | deriv | > 0.1% (US FOMO) | 未点灯 |
| 27 | Fear & Greed Index | sentiment | > 80 (Extreme Greed) | 未点灯 |
| 28 | Altcoin Season Index | sentiment | > 75 (Altseason) | 未点灯 |
| 29 | Bitcoin Dominance | sentiment | < 45% (late-cycle rotation) | 未点灯 |
| 30 | Stablecoin Supply 30D Growth | sentiment | < +2%/30d (dry powder stalls) | 点灯 |
複数の指標が同時点灯した局面は歴史的に天井圏。単一指標での判断は禁物。